Need fantasy-golf advice for the AT&T Byron Nelson at TPC Four Seasons Resort’s Las Colinas Country Club in Irving, Texas? Our Golfweek experts are here to help, providing their picks to win, sleeper players, DraftKings bargains and more.
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- Projected champion: Jordan Spieth. Long time ago he was pretty good.
- Also like: Louis Oosthuizen. Never strikes it badly, always on the cusp of playing brilliantly.
- Sleeper pick: He sits 114th in the Official World Golf Ranking but with a bolt of confidence from recent play, give Colt Knost proper respect.
- DraftKings bargain: Peter Malnati. For $5,900 you get a kid who’ll play with an enormous amount of spirit and if he finds some rhythm he could offer a surprise.
- Fade: Tony Finau. Since winning in Puerto Rico in March he has missed two cuts and finished T-38 and T-28, hardly a positive roll.
- Projected champion: Dustin Johnson. Had his best finish at TPC Sawgrass (T-28), a course that takes driver out of his hands, and returns to his power game this week in Dallas.
- Also like: Marc Leishman. Was rusty here a year ago as his wife dealt with scary health issues, but has a terrific record here, with finishes of T-12 or better in five of his previous six trips.
- Sleeper pick: Bryson DeChambeau. Yes, don’t be surprised if your No. 207 player in the world contends this week. He should be fresh.
- DraftKings bargain: Jon Curran. Grabbed some momentum with a great final round at Players, and was T-6 at Nelson a year ago.
- Fade: Brendon Todd. Former champion hasn’t shot in the 60s since the Tour was still on the West Coast, and has missed 11 consecutive cuts.
- Champion: Brooks Koepka. He’s long and accurate off the tee, hits a lot of greens and is not afraid to go low. That’s a winning recipe. He’s been solid if unspectacular this season and could use a big week to reignite talk of a Ryder Cup berth.
- Also like: Dustin Johnson and Marc Leishman. DJ should’ve won here last year. Leishman hasn’t won since 2012 on the PGA Tour. I know. Crazy. But he’s made 7 of his last 8 cuts and has positive vibes here: T-3 in ’14, T-12 in ’13, T-3 in ’12, T-12 in ’10.
- Sleeper pick: Graham DeLaet. His game and TPC Four Seasons Resort are a good fit: T-41, T-10, T-7, T-22 the last four years, and he had made six cuts in a row before having the weekend off at The Players. Another guy due for a victory.
- DraftKings bargain: Andrew Loupe ($6,600) is a boom-bust guy (you’ve been warned) with four top-10s finishes in his nine cuts made. He shot four rounds of par or better here last year and is coming off a T-4 at Wells Fargo. Worth a roll of the dice.
- Fade: The last two AT&T Byron Nelson champs — defender Steven Bowditch and Brendon Todd — are radioactive right now. Stay far, far away. Todd has missed 11 cuts in a row and Bowditch has a bad case of the 80s.
- Champion: Jordan Spieth. The 22-year-old has lost a lot of ground to Jason Day in the world rankings and after last week’s missed cut at The Players, my gut tells me Spieth is going to bounce back in a big way.
- Also like: Ryan Palmer. Has made 12 straight cuts on Tour and his last five at the Nelson, and has two top 10s in his last four events here. Also consider Charles Howell III, who has five straight top 20s at the Nelson.
- Sleeper pick: Colt Knost. Has climbed from No. 230 in the OWGR at the end of 2015 to No. 114. The Dallas native was T-10 here last year and enters this week in top form (T-3 at The Players).
- DraftKings bargain: Cameron Smith ($6,500). The young Aussie had made six straight cuts before missing the weekend at Quail Hollow. He got a week off to rest and now will tee it up at Las Colinas, where he was T-46 last year.
- Fade: Ian Poulter. He has cracked the top 10 just once on the PGA Tour since last year’s Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial, and that was a T-3 at an opposite field event (Puerto Rico Open). He also hasn’t played the Nelson since a MC in 2009.